All markets
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?9% say yes
- Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?<1% say Elon Musk winsThere is one market for each possible winner (4 in all).
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?67% say yes
- 2026 Balance of Power: Other<1% say yes
- France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026?8% say yesIf that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026), the answer is No.
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?97% say yesIf that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 31, 2026), the answer is No.
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?95% say yes
- Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?32% say Republicans winThere is one market for each possible winner (2 in all).
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?1% say Chelsea Clinton winsThere is one market for each possible winner (3 in all).
- Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?2% say Jordan Bardella winsThere is one market for each possible winner (12 in all).
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?19% say yesIf that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026), the answer is No.
- Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?72% say Republicans winThere is one market for each possible winner (2 in all).
- US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?92% say yes
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?67% say yes
- Will the Democratic Party win the NC-09 House seat?32% say Democratic Party wins
- Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?<1% say Candace Owens winsThere is one market for each possible winner (11 in all).
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?36% say yesIf that hasn’t happened by the deadline (March 31, 2027), the answer is No.
- Trump out as President before 2027?4% say yesIf that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026), the answer is No.
- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?68% say Chiang Wan-an winsTaiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
- Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?96% say Xavier Becerra winsThere is one market for each possible winner (2 in all).
- Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?27% say Dan Sullivan winsThere is one market for each possible winner (2 in all).
- Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?42% say Democrats winThere is one market for each possible winner (2 in all).
- Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?26% say Democrats winThere is one market for each possible winner (2 in all).
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?19% say yesIf that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026), the answer is No.
- Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?33% say Republicans winThere is one market for each possible winner (2 in all).
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?4% say yesIf that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026), the answer is No.
- Iran leadership change by November 30?9% say yesIf that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 30, 2026), the answer is No.
- Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026?57% say yesIf that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026), the answer is No.
- Will Vladan Đokić win the next Serbia presidential election?23% say yes
- Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?14% say Republicans winThere is one market for each possible winner (2 in all).