US Elections

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

6% say yes

Down 1 point today.

Decided by official government/military statements plus a credible reporting, by December 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 6¢ means about a 6% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2026), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date ().

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.6%
What has to happen
Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.94%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2026.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 6%No 94%

-Yes chance

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Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: needs formal signingNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Medium (45/100)

settles on the date it takes effect

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Press announcements or committee votes do not settle Yes; formal signing or enactment before the deadline is required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 3 smaller price or trading-volume entries

Trading picked up (about 3 times the usual hourly amount).
1d ago
Trading picked up (about 3 times the usual hourly amount).
1d ago
Trading picked up (about 3 times the usual hourly amount).
1d ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Volodymyr Zelenskyy ceases to be President of Ukraine for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Volodymyr Zelenskyy's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Volodymyr Zelenskyy and the government of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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