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Tennis

Timofeeva vs Sun: who will win?

59% say Xinran Sun wins

Down 8 points today.

Match time has passed. Waiting for the official result.

Polymarket lists November 4, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until November 11, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 59¢ means about a 59% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Maria Timofeeva (-1.5) and Xinran Sun (+1.5) play a tennis match at the Set Handicap, scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00 PM .

Possible results

  • Maria TimofeevaMaria Timofeeva wins.41%

    What has to happen

    Maria Timofeeva wins by 2 or more sets than Xinran Sun, based on the final completed score.

  • Xinran SunXinran Sun wins.59%

    What has to happen

    Xinran Sun beats Maria Timofeeva, under the rules.

The one trap

Otherwise, it settles as "Xinran Sun." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round.

See all fine print
  • For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Maria Timofeeva can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and the market settles as "Xinran Sun." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50.
Price chart
-Yes chance

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The details

Rule note: full game including overtimeNo source named
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played, overtime included. Postponed games stay open until completed; cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 10:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Timofeeva and Xinran Sun in the Guangzhou Open, originally scheduled for October 28, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Maria Timofeeva" if Maria Timofeeva wins by 2 or more sets than Xinran Sun, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Xinran Sun." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play under the match format published by the tournament organizer for that round. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Maria Timofeeva can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Xinran Sun." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by November 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA results.

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