Tennis

Sabalenka vs Muchova: who will win?

Settled: Aryna Sabalenka

Decided by the official result, under the rules

Result posted: Mon Nov 9, 4:44 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Mon Nov 9, 4:44 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

Aryna Sabalenka and Karolina Muchova play a tennis match in Set 1 Winner, scheduled for November 9, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET.

Possible results

Aryna SabalenkaAryna Sabalenka wins.Yes
What has to happen
Aryna Sabalenka wins the first set.
Karolina MuchovaKarolina Muchova wins.No
What has to happen
Karolina Muchova wins the first set.

The one trap

If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set.

See all fine print

If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the official resultNo source named

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles on the official final result as played. Cancellations follow the stated fallback. Deadline: Mon, Nov 9, 2026, 3:00 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).”
“If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the…”
“If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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