Other
Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
13% say Xiaomi will be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027
Down 9 points today.
Decided by official government/military statements plus a credible reporting, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM .
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 13¢ means about a 13% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No.
Possible results
DeepSeekDeepSeek wins.26%
What has to happen
The specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M.
Moonshot AIMoonshot AI wins.19%
What has to happen
Moonshot AI is added to the list entitled "Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M.
XiaomiXiaomi wins.13%
What has to happen
The specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M.
ByteDanceByteDance wins.9%
What has to happen
The specified company is added to the list entitled “Entities Identified as Chinese Military Companies Operating in the United States in Accordance with Section 1260H of the William M.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
An addition will qualify regardless of whether it is later retracted or withdrawn.
See all fine print
- If no qualifying announcement or list republishing occurs by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “No”.
Price chart
Loading...
View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)