Commodities

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?

Settled: Yes

Decided by Pyth 1-minute candles

Result posted: Fri Oct 30, 12:26 PM ET

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Fri Oct 30, 12:26 PM ET

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (October 31, 2026), the answer is No.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.Yes
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by October 31, 2026.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.No
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by October 31, 2026.

The one trap

If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by Pyth 1m candle

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Pyth 1-minute candles (pyth.network). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Settles Yes if any single 1-minute candle high or low touches the strike price, even if the price reverses right away. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Pyth 1m candle (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of October 2026, any 1-minute candle for…”
“The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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