MarketWeaver

Commodities

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in November?

3% say yes

Up 1 point today.

Decided by Pyth 1-minute candles for the ICE Futures active-month contract, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 3¢ means about a 3% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.3%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.97%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the Active Month WTI Crude Oil Futures contract by ICE Futures Europe may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session (See: https://www.ice.com/report/10 with "T-West Texas Intermediate Light Sweet Crude Future" selected).

Price chart
-Yes chance

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View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: one 1-minute touch countsSettled by Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Pyth 1-minute candles for the ICE Futures active-month contract (ice.com trading hours apply) (pyth.network). Updates continuously (oracle / index feed). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles Yes as soon as any 1-minute candle’s high reaches the strike, even if the price moves back right away. Deadline: Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Pyth 1m candle · ICE futures (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of November 2026, any Pyth 1-minute candle…”
  • “The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the ICE Futures Europe WTI Crude Futures Active Month "High" and "Low" prices available at…”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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