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Mentions

Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?

78% say yes

Up 56 points today.

Decided by events.gop.com, by October 27, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 78¢ means about a 78% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Yes wins if: Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance.

Possible results

  • YesWhat the question describes actually happens.78%

    What has to happen

    Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.22%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 5.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 72.5¢ to 77.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: events.gop.com23m ago

  • The price rose 10.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 65.5¢ to 76¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: events.gop.com53m ago

  • The price fell 17.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 92.5¢ to 75¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: events.gop.com2h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the event happening and being officially reportedSettled by events.gop.com
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the event happening and being officially reported

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Named URL in rules: events.gop.com. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the event happening and being officially reported, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 7:00 PM ET.

Source named: events.gop.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas on October 27, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. (https://events.gop.com/events/midterm-rally-in-lubbock-texas-president-donald-j-trump-djt47) This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas on October 27, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Will Trump say "Two Percent" during his Midterm Rally in Lubbock, Texas?: explained simply · MarketWeaver