MarketWeaver

Tech

Will Tim Cook be the next CEO of NVIDIA?

7% say Tim Cook will be the next CEO of NVIDIA

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 7¢ means about a 7% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • Ian BuckIan Buck wins.33%

    What has to happen

    Ian Buck wins, under the rules.

  • Colette KressColette Kress wins.23%

    What has to happen

    Colette Kress wins, under the rules.

  • Tim CookTim Cook wins.7%

    What has to happen

    Tim Cook wins, under the rules.

  • Madison HuangMadison Huang wins.2%

    What has to happen

    Madison Huang wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “Jensen Huang (No Change)”.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the official announcement
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Sun, Dec 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the first individual who is officially announced as the successor to Jensen Huang as CEO of NVIDIA Corporation by…”
  • “If no successor is announced by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Jensen Huang (No Change)”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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