US Elections
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) be in the next Swedish government?
8% say Sweden Democrats (SD) will be in the next Swedish government
About the same as yesterday.
Decided by official government/military statements plus a credible reporting, by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM .
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 8¢ means about an 8% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No.
Possible results
Centre Party (C)Centre Party (C) wins.73%
What has to happen
The listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Moderate Party (M)Moderate Party (M) wins.50%
What has to happen
The listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Christian Democrats (KD)Christian Democrats (KD) wins.49%
What has to happen
The listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Liberals (L)Liberals (L) wins.47%
What has to happen
The listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Show 5 more results
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) wins.45%
What has to happen
The listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Green Party (MP)Green Party (MP) wins.45%
What has to happen
The listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Left Party (V)Left Party (V) wins.18%
What has to happen
The listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Sweden Democrats (SD)Sweden Democrats (SD) wins.8%
What has to happen
The listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Citizens' Coalition (MED)Citizens' Coalition (MED) wins.1%
What has to happen
The listed political party is included in the first Swedish government formed after the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “No”.
See all fine print
- In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Sweden and the Riksdag.
Price chart
Loading...
View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)