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Bitcoin

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 28?

>99% say yes

Up 46 points today.

Decided by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, by October 28, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price over 99¢ means more than a 99% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the BTC/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

  • YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.>99%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by October 28, 2026.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.<1%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by October 28, 2026.

The one trap

It uses the Binance price at 12:00 ET, not prices from other exchanges or websites.

Price chart
-Yes chance

Recorded moves

  • The price rose 4.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 93¢ to 97¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)8h ago

  • The price rose 7.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 83.5¢ to 90.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)9h ago

  • The price rose 7.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 77.5¢ to 85¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)9h ago

  • The price rose 3.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 79.5¢ to 83¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)10h ago

  • The price fell 4.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 82¢ to 77.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)11h ago

  • The price rose 4.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 76¢ to 80.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)11h ago

  • The price rose 7.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 68.5¢ to 76¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)12h ago

  • The price rose 8.0 points in about 15 minutes, from 64¢ to 72¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)14h ago

  • The price rose 8.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 57¢ to 65.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)14h ago

  • The price fell 14.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 72.5¢ to 58¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Named source: binance.com (1m candle)15h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Wed, Oct 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading picked up (about 14 times the usual hourly amount).

    13h ago

  • Trading picked up (about 3 times the usual hourly amount).

    16h ago

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

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