Bitcoin

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 30?

36% say yes

Down 3 points today.

Decided by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, by October 30, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 36¢ means about a 36% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the BTC/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.36%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by October 30, 2026.
NoIt doesn’t happen.64%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by October 30, 2026.

The one trap

It uses the Binance price at 12:00 ET, not prices from other exchanges or websites.

Price chart

Yes 36%No 64%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 11.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 52¢ to 40.5¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)14m ago
The price rose 6.5 points in about 15 minutes, from 47.5¢ to 54¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)1h ago

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Fri, Oct 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

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