Bitcoin

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on November 9?

46% say yes

Up 6 points today.

Decided by Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles, by November 9, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 46¢ means about a 46% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The price is read from Binance (the BTC/USDT pair), at the time named in the rules.

Possible results

YesThe price ends up where the question says, at the time and source the rules name.46%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 9, 2026.
NoIt doesn’t happen.54%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 9, 2026.

The one trap

It uses the Binance price at 12:00 ET, not prices from other exchanges or websites.

Price chart

Yes 46%No 54%

-Yes chance

Recorded moves

The price fell 9.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 55.8¢ to 46.4¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: binance.com (1m candle)4m ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsSettled by binance.com (1m candle)

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles (binance.com); other exchanges and pairs ignored. Updates every minute (exchange candles). No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Mon, Nov 9, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Source named: binance.com (1m candle) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the final "Close" price of the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.