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Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027?
4% say International Court of Justice wins
Up 2 points today.
Decided by March 31, 2028, under the rules.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 4¢ means about a 4% chance.
Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (March 31, 2028), the answer is No.
Possible results
Jimmy LaiJimmy Lai wins.13%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Yulia NavalnayaYulia Navalnaya wins.13%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Sudan's Emergency Response RoomsSudan's Emergency Response Rooms wins.11%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Committee to Protect JournalistsCommittee to Protect Journalists wins.10%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Show 13 more results
Julian AssangeJulian Assange wins.9%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Donald TrumpDonald Trump wins.9%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
UNRWAUNRWA wins.8%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
International Criminal CourtInternational Criminal Court wins.7%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Volodymyr ZelenskyyVolodymyr Zelenskyy wins.6%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Sviatlana TsikhanouskayaSviatlana Tsikhanouskaya wins.6%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Melania TrumpMelania Trump wins.5%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
International Court of JusticeInternational Court of Justice wins.4%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Doctors Without BordersDoctors Without Borders wins.3%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Pope Leo XIVPope Leo XIV wins.3%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
António GuterresAntónio Guterres wins.2%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Greta ThunbergGreta Thunberg wins.2%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Elon MuskElon Musk wins.2%
What has to happen
The listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as "No".