Fed & Rates
Will by 0.25 points on Apr 28?
9% say a cut of 0.25 points
Down 1 point today.
Decided by the Fed’s statement after its meeting (by April 28, 2027).
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 9¢ means about a 9% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
After its April 2027 meeting, the Federal Reserve announces whether it will change the interest . Yes wins if: The Fed’s statement lowers the top of its by 0.25 (25 ).
Possible results
YesBorrowing tends to cost less, and savings tend to pay a bit less.9%
What has to happen
The Fed’s statement lowers the top of its target range by 0.25 percentage points (25 basis points).
NoThe Fed decides something else.91%
What has to happen
The statement shows a different change, or none.
What the news says
News search is temporarily unavailable. Check the official source: Federal Reserve Board / FOMC.
The one trap
Polymarket rounds odd-sized changes up. If the Fed cut by 0.125%, Polymarket would count it as a 0.25% cut, but Kalshi might not.
See all fine print
- If the Fed releases no statement by the end of its next scheduled meeting, Polymarket counts it as “No change”.
Price chart
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