Culture
Will The Drama win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
<1% say Drama wins
About the same as yesterday.
Decided by major news reports, by June 30, 2027.
Polymarket lists March 14, 2027 as the end date, but the rules allow until June 30, 2027.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
Possible results
OdysseyOdyssey wins.49%
What has to happen
Odyssey wins, under the rules.
You Can See EverythingYou Can See Everything wins.24%
What has to happen
You Can See Everything wins, under the rules.
La Bola NegraLa Bola Negra wins.13%
What has to happen
La Bola Negra wins, under the rules.
Dune: Part ThreeDune: Part Three wins.9%
What has to happen
Dune: Part Three wins, under the rules.
Show 23 more results
DiggerDigger wins.4%
What has to happen
Digger wins, under the rules.
Wild Horse NineWild Horse Nine wins.2%
What has to happen
Wild Horse Nine wins, under the rules.
ArtificialArtificial wins.<1%
What has to happen
Artificial wins, under the rules.
Project Hail MaryProject Hail Mary wins.<1%
What has to happen
Project Hail Mary wins, under the rules.
DramaDrama wins.<1%
What has to happen
Drama wins, under the rules.
InviteInvite wins.<1%
What has to happen
Invite wins, under the rules.
DebutDebut wins.<1%
What has to happen
Debut wins, under the rules.
Behemoth!Behemoth! wins.<1%
What has to happen
Behemoth! wins, under the rules.
JosephineJosephine wins.<1%
What has to happen
Josephine wins, under the rules.
TonyTony wins.<1%
What has to happen
Tony wins, under the rules.
FjordFjord wins.<1%
What has to happen
Fjord wins, under the rules.
Social ReckoningSocial Reckoning wins.<1%
What has to happen
Social Reckoning wins, under the rules.
"Obsession""Obsession" wins.<1%
What has to happen
"Obsession" wins, under the rules.
"I Play Rocky""I Play Rocky" wins.<1%
What has to happen
"I Play Rocky" wins, under the rules.
Adventures of Cliff BoothAdventures of Cliff Booth wins.<1%
What has to happen
Adventures of Cliff Booth wins, under the rules.
ClarissaClarissa wins.<1%
What has to happen
Clarissa wins, under the rules.
Saturn ReturnSaturn Return wins.<1%
What has to happen
Saturn Return wins, under the rules.
Disclosure DayDisclosure Day wins.<1%
What has to happen
Disclosure Day wins, under the rules.
FatherlandFatherland wins.<1%
What has to happen
Fatherland wins, under the rules.
All of a SuddenAll of a Sudden wins.<1%
What has to happen
All of a Sudden wins, under the rules.
MichaelMichael wins.<1%
What has to happen
Michael wins, under the rules.
Avengers: DoomsdayAvengers: Doomsday wins.<1%
What has to happen
Avengers: Doomsday wins, under the rules.
"Elsinore""Elsinore" wins.<1%
What has to happen
"Elsinore" wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
See all fine print
- In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
- If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as "Other".