US Elections
Will the Democrats win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026?
<1% say Democrats win
No price change recorded today yet.
Decided by AP, Fox News and NBC race calls (official certification if they disagree).
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
There is one market for each possible winner (3 in all).
Possible results
RepublicansRepublicans win the election.94%
What has to happen
Republicans win, under the rules.
Brian BengsBrian Bengs wins the election.6%
What has to happen
Brian Bengs wins, under the rules.
DemocratsDemocrats win the election.<1%
What has to happen
Democrats win, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
What the news says
News search is temporarily unavailable. Check the official source: AP, Fox News and NBC race calls (official certification if they disagree).
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
Price chart
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