US Elections
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 10% and 12%?
4% say yes
Down 11 points today.
Decided by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM , under the rules.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 4¢ means about a 4% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
Possible results
YesWhat the question describes actually happens.4%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoIt doesn’t happen.96%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.
What the news says
News search is temporarily unavailable. Check the official source: November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, under the rules.
The one trap
The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.
Price chart
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Recorded moves
The price fell 5.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 9.2¢ to 3.9¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: history.house.gov22m ago
The price fell 3.1 points in about 15 minutes, from 11.8¢ to 8.7¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.
Named source: history.house.gov52m ago
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