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US Elections

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Georgia Senate election by 18% or more?

79% say yes

Up 70 points today.

Decided by the election on November 3, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 79¢ means about a 79% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

The 2026 Georgia Senate election first round is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.

Possible results

  • Yes79%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.21%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

What the news says

News search is temporarily unavailable. Check the official source: the election on November 3, 2026.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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Recorded moves

  • The price fell 13.6 points in about 15 minutes, from 90.7¢ to 77.1¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus32m ago

  • The price rose 32.3 points in about 15 minutes, from 60.7¢ to 93¢. This market has no official data feed that we track.

    Source: Credible-reporting consensus2h ago

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: no rules on fileNo single official source
Fine-print risk
-
no rules on file
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: No contract text is on file, so the settlement trigger cannot be checked.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

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