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Geopolitics

Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?

Settled: Letitia James (D)

Decided by consensus of credible reporting

Result posted: Wed Nov 4, 2:57 AM ET

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Wed Nov 4, 2:33 AM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

There is one market for each possible winner (5 in all).

Possible results

  • Democratic Party candidateDemocratic Party candidate wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Democratic Party candidate wins, under the rules.

  • Republican Party candidateRepublican Party candidate wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Republican Party candidate wins, under the rules.

  • Person APerson A wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Person A wins, under the rules.

  • Person BPerson B wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Person B wins, under the rules.

Show 1 more results
  • a candidate not listed abovea candidate not listed above wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    a candidate not listed above wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print
  • If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, the market settles as "Other".
  • In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: race calls after election dayNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Medium (30/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the race calls after election day, not at a set time. Election day: Tue, Nov 3, 2026. Polymarket’s listed end date is Nov 3, 2026, 6:59 PM ET. Results can take until Jul 31, 2027.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 New York Attorney General election currently scheduled for November 3…”
  • “If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election?: explained simply · MarketWeaver