Culture
Will The Adventures of Cliff Booth win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
<1% say Adventures of Cliff Booth wins
About the same as yesterday.
Decided by oscars.org, by March 14, 2027.
Results can take until June 30, 2027.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
Possible results
OdysseyOdyssey wins.53%
What has to happen
Odyssey wins, under the rules.
You Can See EverythingYou Can See Everything wins.21%
What has to happen
You Can See Everything wins, under the rules.
La Bola NegraLa Bola Negra wins.13%
What has to happen
La Bola Negra wins, under the rules.
Dune: Part ThreeDune: Part Three wins.8%
What has to happen
Dune: Part Three wins, under the rules.
Show 23 more results
DiggerDigger wins.3%
What has to happen
Digger wins, under the rules.
Wild Horse NineWild Horse Nine wins.2%
What has to happen
Wild Horse Nine wins, under the rules.
ArtificialArtificial wins.<1%
What has to happen
Artificial wins, under the rules.
Project Hail MaryProject Hail Mary wins.<1%
What has to happen
Project Hail Mary wins, under the rules.
InviteInvite wins.<1%
What has to happen
Invite wins, under the rules.
DebutDebut wins.<1%
What has to happen
Debut wins, under the rules.
Adventures of Cliff BoothAdventures of Cliff Booth wins.<1%
What has to happen
Adventures of Cliff Booth wins, under the rules.
Behemoth!Behemoth! wins.<1%
What has to happen
Behemoth! wins, under the rules.
DramaDrama wins.<1%
What has to happen
Drama wins, under the rules.
"Obsession""Obsession" wins.<1%
What has to happen
"Obsession" wins, under the rules.
"I Play Rocky""I Play Rocky" wins.<1%
What has to happen
"I Play Rocky" wins, under the rules.
ClarissaClarissa wins.<1%
What has to happen
Clarissa wins, under the rules.
JosephineJosephine wins.<1%
What has to happen
Josephine wins, under the rules.
Saturn ReturnSaturn Return wins.<1%
What has to happen
Saturn Return wins, under the rules.
TonyTony wins.<1%
What has to happen
Tony wins, under the rules.
FjordFjord wins.<1%
What has to happen
Fjord wins, under the rules.
Social ReckoningSocial Reckoning wins.<1%
What has to happen
Social Reckoning wins, under the rules.
Disclosure DayDisclosure Day wins.<1%
What has to happen
Disclosure Day wins, under the rules.
FatherlandFatherland wins.<1%
What has to happen
Fatherland wins, under the rules.
All of a SuddenAll of a Sudden wins.<1%
What has to happen
All of a Sudden wins, under the rules.
MichaelMichael wins.<1%
What has to happen
Michael wins, under the rules.
Avengers: DoomsdayAvengers: Doomsday wins.<1%
What has to happen
Avengers: Doomsday wins, under the rules.
"Elsinore""Elsinore" wins.<1%
What has to happen
"Elsinore" wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
See all fine print
- In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
- If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as "Other".
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