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Congress & Courts

Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?

Settled: Susie Wiles

Decided by the official result, under the rules

Result posted: Fri Nov 6, 4:45 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Fri Nov 6, 4:26 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • Susie WilesSusie Wiles wins.Yes

    What has to happen

    Susie Wiles wins, under the rules.

  • Pete HegsethPete Hegseth wins.No

    What has to happen

    Pete Hegseth wins, under the rules.

  • J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance wins.No

    What has to happen

    J.D. Vance wins, under the rules.

  • Marco RubioMarco Rubio wins.No

    What has to happen

    Marco Rubio wins, under the rules.

Show 24 more results
  • Scott BessentScott Bessent wins.No

    What has to happen

    Scott Bessent wins, under the rules.

  • Doug BurgumDoug Burgum wins.No

    What has to happen

    Doug Burgum wins, under the rules.

  • Brooke RollinsBrooke Rollins wins.No

    What has to happen

    Brooke Rollins wins, under the rules.

  • Howard LutnickHoward Lutnick wins.No

    What has to happen

    Howard Lutnick wins, under the rules.

  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins.No

    What has to happen

    Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins, under the rules.

  • Scott TurnerScott Turner wins.No

    What has to happen

    Scott Turner wins, under the rules.

  • Sean DuffySean Duffy wins.No

    What has to happen

    Sean Duffy wins, under the rules.

  • Chris WrightChris Wright wins.No

    What has to happen

    Chris Wright wins, under the rules.

  • Linda McMahonLinda McMahon wins.No

    What has to happen

    Linda McMahon wins, under the rules.

  • Doug CollinsDoug Collins wins.No

    What has to happen

    Doug Collins wins, under the rules.

  • Lee ZeldinLee Zeldin wins.No

    What has to happen

    Lee Zeldin wins, under the rules.

  • Russell T. VoughtRussell T. Vought wins.No

    What has to happen

    Russell T. Vought wins, under the rules.

  • John RatcliffeJohn Ratcliffe wins.No

    What has to happen

    John Ratcliffe wins, under the rules.

  • Jamieson GreerJamieson Greer wins.No

    What has to happen

    Jamieson Greer wins, under the rules.

  • Mike WaltzMike Waltz wins.No

    What has to happen

    Mike Waltz wins, under the rules.

  • Kelly LoefflerKelly Loeffler wins.No

    What has to happen

    Kelly Loeffler wins, under the rules.

  • Person APerson A wins.No

    What has to happen

    Person A wins, under the rules.

  • Person BPerson B wins.No

    What has to happen

    Person B wins, under the rules.

  • Person CPerson C wins.No

    What has to happen

    Person C wins, under the rules.

  • Person DPerson D wins.No

    What has to happen

    Person D wins, under the rules.

  • Person EPerson E wins.No

    What has to happen

    Person E wins, under the rules.

  • Person FPerson F wins.No

    What has to happen

    Person F wins, under the rules.

  • Person GPerson G wins.No

    What has to happen

    Person G wins, under the rules.

  • another individual (Other)another individual (Other) wins.No

    What has to happen

    another individual (Other) wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

The official result comes from the Trump administration.

See all fine print
  • If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “None before 2027”.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: needs formal signingNo source named
Fine-print risk
Low (25/100)
settles on the date it takes effect
  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Press announcements or committee votes do not settle Yes; formal signing or enactment before the deadline is required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 2 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.

    58m ago

  • Trading rose to about 3 times the usual hourly amount.

    1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.”
  • “If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”.”
  • “This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Will Susie Wiles be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?: explained simply · MarketWeaver