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Geopolitics

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Settlement under review

To be decided by consensus of credible reporting

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Wed Jul 1, 8:24 AM ET

The result posted on Polymarket is being disputed, so no result is shown here until it is final.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

There is one market for each possible winner (15 in all).

Possible results

  • Karen BassKaren Bass wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Karen Bass wins, under the rules.

  • Nithya RamanNithya Raman wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Nithya Raman wins, under the rules.

  • Rick CarusoRick Caruso wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Rick Caruso wins, under the rules.

  • Asaad AlnajjarAsaad Alnajjar wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Asaad Alnajjar wins, under the rules.

Show 11 more results
  • Gina ViolaGina Viola wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Gina Viola wins, under the rules.

  • Spencer PrattSpencer Pratt wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Spencer Pratt wins, under the rules.

  • Austin BeutnerAustin Beutner wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Austin Beutner wins, under the rules.

  • Lindsey HorvathLindsey Horvath wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Lindsey Horvath wins, under the rules.

  • Monica RodriguezMonica Rodriguez wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Monica Rodriguez wins, under the rules.

  • Rae HuangRae Huang wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Rae Huang wins, under the rules.

  • Adam MillerAdam Miller wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Adam Miller wins, under the rules.

  • another candidateanother candidate wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    another candidate wins, under the rules.

  • Candidate HCandidate H wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Candidate H wins, under the rules.

  • Candidate ICandidate I wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Candidate I wins, under the rules.

  • Candidate JCandidate J wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Candidate J wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

See all fine print
  • If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of trusted news reports; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

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Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the event happening and being officially reported, time zone not statedNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Medium (30/100)
settles on the event happening and being officially reported

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the event happening and being officially reported, with no time zone stated for the deadline. Deadline: Tue, Jun 2, 2026 (time zone not stated).

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

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Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?: explained simply · MarketWeaver