Tech

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?

Settled: Yes

Decided by youtube.com

Result posted: Fri Nov 13, 7:53 PM

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Fri Nov 13, 7:53 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.Yes
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.No
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by youtube.com

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Named URL in rules: youtube.com. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: youtube.com (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“If the 15th SpaceX Starship successfully launches from its launch pad by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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