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Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by on October 31?

Closed, awaiting result

To be decided by consensus of credible reporting

Trading has stopped. No result has been posted yet.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • MicrosoftMicrosoft wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Microsoft wins, under the rules.

  • AlphabetAlphabet wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Alphabet wins, under the rules.

  • NVIDIANVIDIA wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    NVIDIA wins, under the rules.

  • AppleApple wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Apple wins, under the rules.

Show 5 more results
  • TeslaTesla wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Tesla wins, under the rules.

  • Saudi AramcoSaudi Aramco wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Saudi Aramco wins, under the rules.

  • AmazonAmazon wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Amazon wins, under the rules.

  • BroadcomBroadcom wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Broadcom wins, under the rules.

  • SpaceXSpaceX wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    SpaceX wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

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The details

Rule note: only the close countsNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Medium (45/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Sat, Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Will SpaceX be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31?: explained simply · MarketWeaver