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Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by on November 30, 2026?

Closed, awaiting result

To be decided by consensus of credible reporting

Trading has stopped. No result has been posted yet.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • AppleApple wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Apple wins, under the rules.

  • NVIDIANVIDIA wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    NVIDIA wins, under the rules.

  • AlphabetAlphabet wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Alphabet wins, under the rules.

  • MicrosoftMicrosoft wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Microsoft wins, under the rules.

Show 7 more results
  • TeslaTesla wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Tesla wins, under the rules.

  • Saudi AramcoSaudi Aramco wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Saudi Aramco wins, under the rules.

  • BroadcomBroadcom wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Broadcom wins, under the rules.

  • AmazonAmazon wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Amazon wins, under the rules.

  • SpaceXSpaceX wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    SpaceX wins, under the rules.

  • TSMCTSMC wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    TSMC wins, under the rules.

  • MetaMeta wins.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Meta wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsNo single official source
Fine-print risk
High (60/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.”
  • “This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026?: explained simply · MarketWeaver