MarketWeaver

US Elections

Will Rob Sand win the 2028 Democratic presidential ?

<1% say Rob Sand wins

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by official party sources.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

There is one market for each possible winner (10 in all).

Possible results

  • Jon OssoffJon Ossoff wins the election.26%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Josh ShapiroJosh Shapiro wins the election.6%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • James TalaricoJames Talarico wins the election.2%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Abdul El-SayedAbdul El-Sayed wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

Show 6 more results
  • Cory BookerCory Booker wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Chris Van HollenChris Van Hollen wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Ruben GallegoRuben Gallego wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Chris MurphyChris Murphy wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Shawn FainShawn Fain wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

  • Rob SandRob Sand wins the election.<1%

    What has to happen

    The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by Official party sources
Fine-print risk
Low (25/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of official party sources (nomination accepted). Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Mon, Nov 6, 2028, 7:00 PM ET.

Source named: Official party sources (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 1 smaller price or trading-volume entries
  • This market joined the most traded markets.

    1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Democratic Party for U.S. president.”
  • “The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democratic Party sources.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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