Geopolitics

Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027?

68% say yes

Down 10 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 68¢ means about a 68% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.68%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
NoThe deadline passes without it happening.32%
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

the market settles as "No meeting by December 31, 2027" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.

See all fine print

A meeting held in Vatican City settles as "Vatican City," not "Italy." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, the market settles as "Other - Europe." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, the market settles as "Other - Middle East/North Africa." If the next qualifying meeting takes place in any unlisted country that is not classified in either specified region, the market settles as "Other." For purposes of this market, countries' regions will be determined based on the U.S.

Price chart

Yes 68%No 32%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the event happening and being officially reportedNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (15/100)

settles on the event happening and being officially reported

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: It settles on the event happening and being officially reported, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Fri, Dec 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy between market creation and December 31, 2027…”
“This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31, 2027" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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