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Soccer

Will Portland Timbers win the 2026 MLS Cup?

<1% say Portland Timbers win

About the same as yesterday.

Decided when a champion is named, by December 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US. Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

The short version

It stays open until the season or tournament has a winner.

Possible results

  • Nashville SCNashville SC wins.23%

    What has to happen

    Nashville SC wins, under the rules.

  • Vancouver Whitecaps FCVancouver Whitecaps FC wins.18%

    What has to happen

    Vancouver Whitecaps FC wins, under the rules.

  • Inter Miami CFInter Miami CF wins.17%

    What has to happen

    Inter Miami CF wins, under the rules.

  • FC DallasFC Dallas wins.6%

    What has to happen

    FC Dallas wins, under the rules.

Show 20 more results
  • St. Louis City SCSt. Louis City SC wins.6%

    What has to happen

    St. Louis City SC wins, under the rules.

  • Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC wins.5%

    What has to happen

    Los Angeles FC wins, under the rules.

  • New England RevolutionNew England Revolution wins.5%

    What has to happen

    New England Revolution wins, under the rules.

  • Chicago Fire FCChicago Fire FC wins.4%

    What has to happen

    Chicago Fire FC wins, under the rules.

  • Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia Union wins.4%

    What has to happen

    Philadelphia Union wins, under the rules.

  • Houston Dynamo FCHouston Dynamo FC wins.4%

    What has to happen

    Houston Dynamo FC wins, under the rules.

  • Charlotte FCCharlotte FC wins.2%

    What has to happen

    Charlotte FC wins, under the rules.

  • San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes wins.2%

    What has to happen

    San Jose Earthquakes wins, under the rules.

  • Orlando City SCOrlando City SC wins.1%

    What has to happen

    Orlando City SC wins, under the rules.

  • Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids wins.1%

    What has to happen

    Colorado Rapids wins, under the rules.

  • Seattle Sounders FCSeattle Sounders FC wins.1%

    What has to happen

    Seattle Sounders FC wins, under the rules.

  • FC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    FC Cincinnati wins, under the rules.

  • Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Real Salt Lake wins, under the rules.

  • Columbus CrewColumbus Crew wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Columbus Crew wins, under the rules.

  • LA GalaxyLA Galaxy wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    LA Galaxy wins, under the rules.

  • New York Red BullsNew York Red Bulls wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    New York Red Bulls wins, under the rules.

  • New York City FCNew York City FC wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    New York City FC wins, under the rules.

  • Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Minnesota United FC wins, under the rules.

  • Portland TimbersPortland Timbers wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Portland Timbers wins, under the rules.

  • Toronto FCToronto FC wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Toronto FC wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, the market settles as “Other”.

Price chart
-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the event happening and being officially reportedSettled by MLS official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the event happening and being officially reported

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on MLS official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the event happening and being officially reported, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026.

Source named: MLS official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Show 3 smaller price or trading-volume entries

  • Trading picked up (about 10 times the usual hourly amount).

    20m ago

  • Trading picked up (about 16 times the usual hourly amount).

    50m ago

  • This market joined the most traded markets.

    1h ago

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 MLS Cup.”
  • “If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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