Geopolitics
Will Person W win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?
Settled: Mark Sutcliffe
Decided by consensus of credible reporting
Result posted: Mon Oct 26, 11:04 PM ET
Trading stopped on Polymarket: Mon Oct 26, 11:04 PM ET
Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. There is one market for each possible winner (39 in all).
Possible results
Mark SutcliffeMark Sutcliffe wins the election.Yes
What has to happen
Mark Sutcliffe wins, under the rules.
Alex LawsonAlex Lawson wins the election.No
What has to happen
Alex Lawson wins, under the rules.
Jeff LeiperJeff Leiper wins the election.No
What has to happen
Jeff Leiper wins, under the rules.
Neil SaravanamuttooNeil Saravanamuttoo wins the election.No
What has to happen
Neil Saravanamuttoo wins, under the rules.
Show 35 more results
Catherine McKenneyCatherine McKenney wins the election.No
What has to happen
Catherine McKenney wins, under the rules.
someone elsesomeone else wins the election.No
What has to happen
someone else wins, under the rules.
Person APerson A wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person A wins, under the rules.
Person BPerson B wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person B wins, under the rules.
Person CPerson C wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person C wins, under the rules.
Person DPerson D wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person D wins, under the rules.
Person EPerson E wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person E wins, under the rules.
Person FPerson F wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person F wins, under the rules.
Person GPerson G wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person G wins, under the rules.
Person HPerson H wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person H wins, under the rules.
Person IPerson I wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person I wins, under the rules.
Person JPerson J wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person J wins, under the rules.
Person KPerson K wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person K wins, under the rules.
Person LPerson L wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person L wins, under the rules.
Person MPerson M wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person M wins, under the rules.
Person NPerson N wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person N wins, under the rules.
Person OPerson O wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person O wins, under the rules.
Person PPerson P wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person P wins, under the rules.
Person QPerson Q wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person Q wins, under the rules.
Person RPerson R wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person R wins, under the rules.
Person SPerson S wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person S wins, under the rules.
Person TPerson T wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person T wins, under the rules.
Person UPerson U wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person U wins, under the rules.
Person VPerson V wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person V wins, under the rules.
Person WPerson W wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person W wins, under the rules.
Person XPerson X wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person X wins, under the rules.
Person YPerson Y wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person Y wins, under the rules.
Person ZPerson Z wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person Z wins, under the rules.
Person AAPerson AA wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person AA wins, under the rules.
Person ABPerson AB wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person AB wins, under the rules.
Person ACPerson AC wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person AC wins, under the rules.
Person ADPerson AD wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person AD wins, under the rules.
Person AEPerson AE wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person AE wins, under the rules.
Person AFPerson AF wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person AF wins, under the rules.
Person AGPerson AG wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person AG wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
Someone holding the job temporarily before the election doesn’t count.
See all fine print
- Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.