US Elections

Will Person J win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

No live price for this market yet.

About the same as yesterday.

Decided by AP, Fox News and NBC race calls (official certification if they disagree).

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

YesThe person named in the question wins the election.No price
What has to happen
The answer to the question is yes by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoIt doesn’t happen.No price
What has to happen
The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

Price chart

-Yes chance

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The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by AP + Fox News + NBC race calls

Fine-print risk

Low (25/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: Settles on AP, Fox News and NBC race calls (official certification if they disagree).
Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Tue, Nov 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: AP + Fox News + NBC race calls (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm South Carolina U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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