US Elections
Will Person I win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
Settled: Adam Hamilton (D)
Decided by Race calls by AP, Fox News, NBC
Result posted: Wed Nov 4, 2:32 AM ET
Trading stopped on Polymarket: Wed Nov 4, 2:26 AM ET
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
There is one market for each possible winner (13 in all).
Possible results
DemocratsDemocrats win the election.No
What has to happen
Democrats win, under the rules.
RepublicansRepublicans win the election.No
What has to happen
Republicans win, under the rules.
Person APerson A wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person A wins, under the rules.
Person BPerson B wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person B wins, under the rules.
Show 9 more results
Person CPerson C wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person C wins, under the rules.
Person DPerson D wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person D wins, under the rules.
Person EPerson E wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person E wins, under the rules.
Person FPerson F wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person F wins, under the rules.
Person GPerson G wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person G wins, under the rules.
Person HPerson H wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person H wins, under the rules.
Person IPerson I wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person I wins, under the rules.
Person JPerson J wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person J wins, under the rules.
a candidate not listed abovea candidate not listed above wins the election.No
What has to happen
a candidate not listed above wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
What the news says
The source says incumbent Republican Senator Roger Marshall is running against political newcomer Adam Hamilton in the 2026 Kansas Senate election. While Kansas Democrats have not won a Senate seat since the Great Depression, initial general election polling indicates the race is currently within the margin of error.
Sources checked Nov 3, 11:01 PM ET
See sources (1)
- PBS · Nov 3
Live Results: Kansas Senate midterm election
News data from GDELT and publisher news feeds. AI summary in our own words. Read the original articles at the links.
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
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