US Elections

Will Person E win the Massachusetts Senate race in 2026?

Settled: Ed Markey (D)

Decided by Race calls by AP, Fox News, NBC

Result posted: Tue Nov 3, 11:09 PM ET

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Tue Nov 3, 11:05 PM ET

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

There is one market for each possible winner (13 in all).

DemocratsDemocrats win the election.No
What has to happen
Democrats win, under the rules.
RepublicansRepublicans win the election.No
What has to happen
Republicans win, under the rules.
Person APerson A wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person A wins, under the rules.
Person BPerson B wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person B wins, under the rules.

Show 9 more results

Person CPerson C wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person C wins, under the rules.
Person DPerson D wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person D wins, under the rules.
Person EPerson E wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person E wins, under the rules.
Person FPerson F wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person F wins, under the rules.
Person GPerson G wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person G wins, under the rules.
Person HPerson H wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person H wins, under the rules.
Person IPerson I wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person I wins, under the rules.
Person JPerson J wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person J wins, under the rules.
a candidate not listed abovea candidate not listed above wins the election.No
What has to happen
a candidate not listed above wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

What the news says

News search is temporarily unavailable. Check the official source: Race calls by AP, Fox News, NBC.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.