Geopolitics
Will Person D win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?
Settled: Olivia Chow
Decided by consensus of credible reporting
Result posted: Tue Oct 27, 12:04 AM ET
Trading stopped on Polymarket: Tue Oct 27, 12:03 AM ET
Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. There is one market for each possible winner (36 in all).
Possible results
Olivia ChowOlivia Chow wins the election.Yes
What has to happen
Olivia Chow wins, under the rules.
Brad BradfordBrad Bradford wins the election.No
What has to happen
Brad Bradford wins, under the rules.
Ana BailãoAna Bailão wins the election.No
What has to happen
Ana Bailão wins, under the rules.
Michael FordMichael Ford wins the election.No
What has to happen
Michael Ford wins, under the rules.
Show 32 more results
Anthony FureyAnthony Furey wins the election.No
What has to happen
Anthony Furey wins, under the rules.
Marco MendicinoMarco Mendicino wins the election.No
What has to happen
Marco Mendicino wins, under the rules.
John ToryJohn Tory wins the election.No
What has to happen
John Tory wins, under the rules.
Kevin ClarkeKevin Clarke wins the election.No
What has to happen
Kevin Clarke wins, under the rules.
someone elsesomeone else wins the election.No
What has to happen
someone else wins, under the rules.
Person APerson A wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person A wins, under the rules.
Person APerson A wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person A wins, under the rules.
Person BPerson B wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person B wins, under the rules.
Person CPerson C wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person C wins, under the rules.
Person DPerson D wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person D wins, under the rules.
Person EPerson E wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person E wins, under the rules.
Person FPerson F wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person F wins, under the rules.
Person GPerson G wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person G wins, under the rules.
Person HPerson H wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person H wins, under the rules.
Person IPerson I wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person I wins, under the rules.
Person JPerson J wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person J wins, under the rules.
Person KPerson K wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person K wins, under the rules.
Person LPerson L wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person L wins, under the rules.
Person MPerson M wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person M wins, under the rules.
Person NPerson N wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person N wins, under the rules.
Person OPerson O wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person O wins, under the rules.
Person PPerson P wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person P wins, under the rules.
Person QPerson Q wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person Q wins, under the rules.
Person RPerson R wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person R wins, under the rules.
Person SPerson S wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person S wins, under the rules.
Person TPerson T wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person T wins, under the rules.
Person UPerson U wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person U wins, under the rules.
Person VPerson V wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person V wins, under the rules.
Person WPerson W wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person W wins, under the rules.
Person XPerson X wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person X wins, under the rules.
Person YPerson Y wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person Y wins, under the rules.
Person ZPerson Z wins the election.No
What has to happen
Person Z wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
Someone holding the job temporarily before the election doesn’t count.
See all fine print
- Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.