US Elections
Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?
3% say Todd Achilles wins
About the same as yesterday.
Decided by AP, Fox News and NBC race calls (official certification if they disagree).
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 3¢ means about a 3% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
There is one market for each possible winner (3 in all).
Possible results
RepublicansRepublicans win the election.96%
What has to happen
Republicans win, under the rules.
Todd AchillesTodd Achilles wins the election.3%
What has to happen
Todd Achilles wins, under the rules.
DemocratsDemocrats win the election.<1%
What has to happen
Democrats win, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
What the news says
News search is temporarily unavailable. Check the official source: AP, Fox News and NBC race calls (official certification if they disagree).
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
Price chart
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