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Geopolitics

Will Party N win the second-most in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Closed, awaiting result

To be decided by consensus of credible reporting

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Fri Oct 23, 11:39 AM ET

Trading has stopped. No result has been posted yet.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. There is one market for each possible winner (39 in all).

Possible results

  • YasharYashar wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Yashar wins, under the rules.

  • Party AParty A wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party A wins, under the rules.

  • Party BParty B wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party B wins, under the rules.

  • Party CParty C wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party C wins, under the rules.

Show 35 more results
  • Party DParty D wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party D wins, under the rules.

  • Party EParty E wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party E wins, under the rules.

  • Party FParty F wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party F wins, under the rules.

  • Party GParty G wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party G wins, under the rules.

  • Party HParty H wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party H wins, under the rules.

  • Party IParty I wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party I wins, under the rules.

  • Party JParty J wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party J wins, under the rules.

  • Party KParty K wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party K wins, under the rules.

  • Party LParty L wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party L wins, under the rules.

  • Party MParty M wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party M wins, under the rules.

  • Party NParty N wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party N wins, under the rules.

  • Party OParty O wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party O wins, under the rules.

  • Party PParty P wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party P wins, under the rules.

  • Party QParty Q wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party Q wins, under the rules.

  • Party RParty R wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party R wins, under the rules.

  • Party SParty S wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party S wins, under the rules.

  • Party TParty T wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party T wins, under the rules.

  • Party UParty U wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party U wins, under the rules.

  • Party VParty V wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party V wins, under the rules.

  • Party WParty W wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party W wins, under the rules.

  • OtherOther wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Other wins, under the rules.

  • LikudLikud wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Likud wins, under the rules.

  • TogetherTogether wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Together wins, under the rules.

  • ShasShas win the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Shas win, under the rules.

  • DemocratsDemocrats win the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Democrats win, under the rules.

  • Otzma YehuditOtzma Yehudit wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Otzma Yehudit wins, under the rules.

  • Yisrael BeiteinuYisrael Beiteinu wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Yisrael Beiteinu wins, under the rules.

  • United Torah JudaismUnited Torah Judaism wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    United Torah Judaism wins, under the rules.

  • RZP-ZehutRZP-Zehut wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    RZP-Zehut wins, under the rules.

  • Joint ListJoint List wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Joint List wins, under the rules.

  • Ra'amRa'am wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Ra'am wins, under the rules.

  • Amcha YisraelAmcha Yisrael wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Amcha Yisrael wins, under the rules.

  • NoamNoam wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Noam wins, under the rules.

  • Reservists and the Economic PartyReservists and the Economic Party wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Reservists and the Economic Party wins, under the rules.

  • Blue and WhiteBlue and White wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Blue and White wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Polymarket goes by what major news outlets agree on. If that is unclear, it uses the official results.

See all fine print
  • Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

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Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by gov.il (tiebreak)
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting; Official election authority (gov.il) decides if ambiguous. Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Tue, Oct 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: gov.il (tiebreak) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).

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Will Party N win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?: explained simply · MarketWeaver