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Will Party AD win the most in the 2026 Spanish general election?

Closed, awaiting result

To be decided by Federal Register / Congress.gov

Trading has stopped. No result has been posted yet.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. There is one market for each possible winner (33 in all).

Possible results

  • PPPP wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    PP wins, under the rules.

  • Party DParty D wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party D wins, under the rules.

  • Party EParty E wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party E wins, under the rules.

  • Party FParty F wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party F wins, under the rules.

Show 29 more results
  • Party GParty G wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party G wins, under the rules.

  • Party HParty H wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party H wins, under the rules.

  • Party IParty I wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party I wins, under the rules.

  • Party JParty J wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party J wins, under the rules.

  • Party KParty K wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party K wins, under the rules.

  • Party LParty L wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party L wins, under the rules.

  • Party MParty M wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party M wins, under the rules.

  • Party NParty N wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party N wins, under the rules.

  • Party OParty O wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party O wins, under the rules.

  • Party PParty P wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party P wins, under the rules.

  • Party QParty Q wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party Q wins, under the rules.

  • Party RParty R wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party R wins, under the rules.

  • Party SParty S wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party S wins, under the rules.

  • Party TParty T wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party T wins, under the rules.

  • Party UParty U wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party U wins, under the rules.

  • Party VParty V wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party V wins, under the rules.

  • Party WParty W wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party W wins, under the rules.

  • Party XParty X wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party X wins, under the rules.

  • Party YParty Y wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party Y wins, under the rules.

  • Party ZParty Z wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party Z wins, under the rules.

  • Party AAParty AA wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party AA wins, under the rules.

  • Party ABParty AB wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party AB wins, under the rules.

  • Party ACParty AC wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party AC wins, under the rules.

  • Party ADParty AD wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Party AD wins, under the rules.

  • another partyanother party wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    another party wins, under the rules.

  • PSOEPSOE wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    PSOE wins, under the rules.

  • VoxVox wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Vox wins, under the rules.

  • Broad Front (FA)Broad Front (FA) wins the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Broad Front (FA) wins, under the rules.

  • PodemosPodemos win the election.No result yet

    What has to happen

    Podemos win, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Polymarket goes by what major news outlets agree on. If that is unclear, it uses the official results.

See all fine print
  • If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as “Other”.
  • If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists nationwide, with higher vote totals ranking higher.

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Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by .gov source: federalregister.gov
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Federal Register / Congress.gov. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Tue, Nov 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Next official event: Federal Register publication, see the official schedule

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

Legislative elections to elect the 350 members of the Congress of Deputies of Spain are scheduled to take place on November 29, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Congress of Deputies of Spain as a result of this election. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by November 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Parties will be ranked by the number of seats won by their electoral lists (candidaturas) nationwide in this election, attributed as set out below. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by their lists nationwide, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. Seats and votes will be attributed according to the electoral list on which they were obtained, as reported in the official results, regardless of the party membership of individual candidates. Lists will be attributed as follows: PSOE: lists of the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party, including the Partit dels Socialistes de Catalunya (PSC) lists in Catalonia. PP: lists of the People’s Party, including the joint UPN–PP list in Navarre. Broad Front (FA): all Broad Front lists, including Catalunya en Comú in Catalonia, Compromís–Valencian Front in the Valencian Community, and Canarian People’s Unity (UPC) in the Canary Islands. ERC: Republican Left of Catalonia lists, including the joint ERC–Podem lists in Catalonia. Podemos: only lists presented by Podemos on its own. CCa: Canarian Coalition lists, including the joint CCa–1º CAN lists in the Canary Islands. Any other list will be attributed to the party or coalition that presents it, as named in the official proclamation of candidacies. Electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent changes in party affiliation or parliamentary-group membership will not be considered. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Spanish Ministry of the Interior (https://infoelectoral.interior.gob.es/).

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Will Party AD win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?: explained simply · MarketWeaver