US Elections
Will Option B win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Settled: Gina Hinojosa (D)
Decided by Race calls by AP, Fox News, NBC
Result posted: Wed Nov 4, 2:24 AM ET
Trading stopped on Polymarket: Wed Nov 4, 2:21 AM ET
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
There is one market for each possible winner (13 in all).
Possible results
DemocratsDemocrats win the election.No
What has to happen
Democrats win, under the rules.
RepublicansRepublicans win the election.No
What has to happen
Republicans win, under the rules.
Option AOption A wins the election.No
What has to happen
Option A wins, under the rules.
Option BOption B wins the election.No
What has to happen
Option B wins, under the rules.
Show 9 more results
Option COption C wins the election.No
What has to happen
Option C wins, under the rules.
Option DOption D wins the election.No
What has to happen
Option D wins, under the rules.
Option EOption E wins the election.No
What has to happen
Option E wins, under the rules.
Option FOption F wins the election.No
What has to happen
Option F wins, under the rules.
Option GOption G wins the election.No
What has to happen
Option G wins, under the rules.
Option HOption H wins the election.No
What has to happen
Option H wins, under the rules.
Option IOption I wins the election.No
What has to happen
Option I wins, under the rules.
Option JOption J wins the election.No
What has to happen
Option J wins, under the rules.
OtherOther wins the election.No
What has to happen
Other wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
What the news says
The source says Democrat James Talarico defeated Republican Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election. This victory marks the first time a Democrat has won a statewide race in Texas since 1993.
Sources checked Nov 3, 11:41 PM ET
See sources (1)
News data from GDELT and publisher news feeds. AI summary in our own words. Read the original articles at the links.
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
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