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Congress & Courts

Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

33% say yes

Down 3 points today.

Decided by Federal Register / Congress.gov, by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 33¢ means about a 33% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: The State of Ohio enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.33%

    What has to happen

    The State of Ohio enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.67%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

A statute that merely authorizes a state agency or the Governor to impose a moratorium at their discretion does not qualify.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenOfficial source: recent release
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on Federal Register / Congress.gov. Latest FEDREG release on this topic: "Release of Waybill Data" (2d ago).
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Dec 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

Recent official releases on this topic (FEDREG)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if the State of Ohio enacts a law or constitutional provision that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data…”
  • “The primary resolution source will be official information from the state government of Ohio; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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