Tech

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by on November 30, 2026?

23% say NVIDIA will be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026

Down 22 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 23¢ means about a 23% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

AppleApple wins.78%
What has to happen
Apple wins, under the rules.
NVIDIANVIDIA wins.23%
What has to happen
NVIDIA wins, under the rules.
MicrosoftMicrosoft wins.<1%
What has to happen
Microsoft wins, under the rules.
AlphabetAlphabet wins.<1%
What has to happen
Alphabet wins, under the rules.

Show 7 more results

TeslaTesla wins.<1%
What has to happen
Tesla wins, under the rules.
Saudi AramcoSaudi Aramco wins.<1%
What has to happen
Saudi Aramco wins, under the rules.
BroadcomBroadcom wins.<1%
What has to happen
Broadcom wins, under the rules.
AmazonAmazon wins.<1%
What has to happen
Amazon wins, under the rules.
SpaceXSpaceX wins.<1%
What has to happen
SpaceX wins, under the rules.
TSMCTSMC wins.<1%
What has to happen
TSMC wins, under the rules.
MetaMeta wins.<1%
What has to happen
Meta wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

The rules don’t list special cases like delays or cancellations. The venue’s own rules decide anything unusual.

Price chart

Yes 23%No 77%

-Yes chance

Loading...

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: only the close countsNo single official source

Fine-print risk

High (60/100)

settles on the condition as written

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Intraday touches do not count. Only the exact closing snapshot at the cutoff timestamp settles this contract. Deadline: Mon, Nov 30, 2026, 4:00 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.”
“This market will resolve to the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30, 2026, as of market close.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Big trades across all markets

Get notified when Pro opens.

One email when Pro opens, plus occasional product news. Unsubscribe anytime. Never shared or rented.