US Elections
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential ?
<1% say Mike Pence wins
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Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
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The short version
There is one market for each possible winner (43 in all).
Possible results
J.D. VanceJ.D. Vance wins the election.39%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Marco RubioMarco Rubio wins the election.17%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Ron DeSantisRon DeSantis wins the election.4%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Tucker CarlsonTucker Carlson wins the election.3%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Show 39 more results
Ted CruzTed Cruz wins the election.3%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Donald TrumpDonald Trump wins the election.2%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Donald Trump Jr.Donald Trump Jr. wins the election.2%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Ivanka TrumpIvanka Trump wins the election.2%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Brian KempBrian Kemp wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Thomas MassieThomas Massie wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Elon MuskElon Musk wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Glenn YoungkinGlenn Youngkin wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.Robert F. Kennedy Jr. wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Josh HawleyJosh Hawley wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Rand PaulRand Paul wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Marjorie Taylor GreeneMarjorie Taylor Greene wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Pete HegsethPete Hegseth wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Tom CottonTom Cotton wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Greg AbbottGreg Abbott wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Vivek RamaswamyVivek Ramaswamy wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Katie BrittKatie Britt wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Candace OwensCandace Owens wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Tulsi GabbardTulsi Gabbard wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Nikki HaleyNikki Haley wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Byron DonaldsByron Donalds wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Elise StefanikElise Stefanik wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Kristi NoemKristi Noem wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Mike PenceMike Pence wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Steve BannonSteve Bannon wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Eric TrumpEric Trump wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Joe KentJoe Kent wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Tim ScottTim Scott wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Doug BurgumDoug Burgum wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
John N. KennedyJohn N. Kennedy wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
John McEnteeJohn McEntee wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Sarah Huckabee SandersSarah Huckabee Sanders wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Matt GaetzMatt Gaetz wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
John ThuneJohn Thune wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Tom BradyTom Brady wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Erika KirkErika Kirk wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Kim KardashianKim Kardashian wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Mike JohnsonMike Johnson wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Rick ScottRick Scott wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
The named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.