US Elections
Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
<1% say Matt Claman wins
No price change recorded today yet.
Polymarket lists November 3, 2026 as the end date, but the rules allow until July 31, 2027.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
There is one market for each possible winner (22 in all).
Possible results
Jonathan Kreiss-TomkinsJonathan Kreiss-Tomkins wins the election.88%
What has to happen
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins wins, under the rules.
Bernadette WilsonBernadette Wilson wins the election.12%
What has to happen
Bernadette Wilson wins, under the rules.
Click BishopClick Bishop wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Click Bishop wins, under the rules.
David BronsonDavid Bronson wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
David Bronson wins, under the rules.
Show 18 more results
Adam CrumAdam Crum wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Adam Crum wins, under the rules.
Nancy DahlstromNancy Dahlstrom wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Nancy Dahlstrom wins, under the rules.
Edna DeVriesEdna DeVries wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Edna DeVries wins, under the rules.
Matt HeilalaMatt Heilala wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Matt Heilala wins, under the rules.
Shelley HughesShelley Hughes wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Shelley Hughes wins, under the rules.
James ParkinJames Parkin wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
James Parkin wins, under the rules.
Treg TaylorTreg Taylor wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Treg Taylor wins, under the rules.
Lisa MurkowskiLisa Murkowski wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Lisa Murkowski wins, under the rules.
Tom BegichTom Begich wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Tom Begich wins, under the rules.
Mary PeltolaMary Peltola wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Mary Peltola wins, under the rules.
Hank KrollHank Kroll wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Hank Kroll wins, under the rules.
Bruce WaldenBruce Walden wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Bruce Walden wins, under the rules.
Matt ClamanMatt Claman wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Matt Claman wins, under the rules.
Lesil McGuireLesil McGuire wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Lesil McGuire wins, under the rules.
Gregg BrelsfordGregg Brelsford wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Gregg Brelsford wins, under the rules.
Jessica FairclothJessica Faircloth wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Jessica Faircloth wins, under the rules.
Destry J. Payne Sr.Destry J. Payne Sr. wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Destry J. Payne Sr. wins, under the rules.
Bill WalkerBill Walker wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Bill Walker wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
See all fine print
- If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, the market settles as "Other".