US Elections

Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027?

1% say yes

Down 3 points today.

Decided by official government/military statements plus a credible reporting.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 1¢ means about a 1% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Yes wins if: The listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM .

Possible results

Yes1%
What has to happen
The listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
NoIt doesn’t happen.99%
What has to happen
That doesn’t happen by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

Price chart

Yes 1%No 99%

-Yes chance

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the announcement countsNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Medium (30/100)

settles on the official announcement

Official source: settlement runs on Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (no single primary feed). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: A qualifying official announcement settles Yes; implementation is not required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Official government/military statements plus a consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)

“This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by…”
“The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of…”
“Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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