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Will Manager J be the next head coach of the England national team?

50% say yes

About the same as yesterday.

Decided by major news reports, by December 31, 2026.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 50¢ means about a 50% chance.

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • YesWhat the question describes actually happens.50%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is yes by December 31, 2026.

  • NoIt doesn’t happen.50%

    What has to happen

    The answer to the question is no, under the rules.

The one trap

If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market settles as "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

Price chart
-Yes chance

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The details

Rule note: needs formal signingNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the date it takes effect

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Press announcements or committee votes do not settle Yes; formal signing or enactment before the deadline is required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of England’s Men’s National Soccer Team. If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the England Football Federation (The Football Association); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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