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Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?

Named source: Bundesliga official · End date Jun 14, 11:59 PM ET · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

The short version

How to read this page

Traders put the chance of Mainz 05 being the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion at less than 1%.

It is about flat today, and there are too few orders waiting near the price to compare buy orders and sell orders.

Low surprise risk: the condition as written settles it.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

Sports event contracts are restricted or under legal challenge in several US states. Check your state’s law and the venue’s terms.

Polymarket prices shown here come from Polymarket’s international site (polymarket.com), which is not available to US residents. Polymarket US is a separate CFTC-regulated venue with its own prices. Prediction market access depends on where you live. Follow each venue’s terms and location rules, and do not use a VPN or other tools to get around them.

The details

Rule note: observed eventSettled by Bundesliga official
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
Observed Event

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Bundesliga official results; credible reporting as a last resort. Posts the final result after the game. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: Settles on a "Observed Event" trigger with an ET cutoff. Cutoff: Mon, Jun 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET Deadline: Mon, Jun 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. If a second venue lists the same question, compare its named source, cutoff time and timezone, and fallback.

Source named: Bundesliga official (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, chart & buyers vs sellersPro

Pro shows the exact price, the change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price history and every recorded move here.

See Pro

Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Named source: Bundesliga official
Fine-print risk: Low (5/100)
  1. Source
  2. Deadline
  3. Counts as Yes
  4. Backup rules
  5. Other venues
Fine-print risk Low 5
1.
Who settles it (official source)
Bundesliga official results; credible reporting as a last resort
2.
Deadline and time zone
Mon, Jun 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET America/New_York
3.
What counts as Yes
Observed EventSettles when the described event is observed and reported by the named source. Rule text: "This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossib…"
4.
Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)
If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
5.
Fine print and other venues
Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: If a second venue lists the same question, compare its named source, cutoff time and timezone, and fallback; Polymarket disputes go to the UMA Optimistic Oracle while Kalshi follows CFTC-filed contract terms.
Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026-27 Bundesliga. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026-27 Bundesliga per the rules of the Bundesliga (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 Bundesliga season is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from the Bundesliga; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Mainz 05 be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion?: resolution rules & settlement traps · MarketWeaver