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Geopolitics

Will List U win the most in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

Settled: No

Decided by consensus of credible reporting

Result posted: Mon Oct 26, 1:20 AM ET

Trading stopped on Polymarket: Mon Oct 26, 1:19 AM ET

Research, not advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. There is one market for each possible winner (36 in all).

Possible results

  • Aleksandar Vučić – United SerbiaAleksandar Vučić – United Serbia wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia wins, under the rules.

  • European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko PonošEuropean Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš wins, under the rules.

  • Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! wins, under the rules.

  • Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) wins, under the rules.

Show 32 more results
  • Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint PásztorAlliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor wins, under the rules.

  • Usame Zukorlić Movement for UnificationUsame Zukorlić Movement for Unification wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification wins, under the rules.

  • Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan NikolićRussian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić wins, under the rules.

  • Authentic Right – Dr Miloš JovanovićAuthentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović wins, under the rules.

  • SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of SandžakSDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak wins, under the rules.

  • List AList A wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List A wins, under the rules.

  • List BList B wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List B wins, under the rules.

  • List CList C wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List C wins, under the rules.

  • List DList D wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List D wins, under the rules.

  • List EList E wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List E wins, under the rules.

  • List FList F wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List F wins, under the rules.

  • List GList G wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List G wins, under the rules.

  • List HList H wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List H wins, under the rules.

  • List IList I wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List I wins, under the rules.

  • List JList J wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List J wins, under the rules.

  • List KList K wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List K wins, under the rules.

  • List LList L wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List L wins, under the rules.

  • List MList M wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List M wins, under the rules.

  • List NList N wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List N wins, under the rules.

  • List OList O wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List O wins, under the rules.

  • List PList P wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List P wins, under the rules.

  • List QList Q wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List Q wins, under the rules.

  • List RList R wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List R wins, under the rules.

  • List SList S wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List S wins, under the rules.

  • List TList T wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List T wins, under the rules.

  • List UList U wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List U wins, under the rules.

  • List VList V wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List V wins, under the rules.

  • List WList W wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List W wins, under the rules.

  • List XList X wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List X wins, under the rules.

  • List YList Y wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List Y wins, under the rules.

  • List ZList Z wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    List Z wins, under the rules.

  • another listanother list wins the election.No

    What has to happen

    another list wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

Polymarket goes by what major news outlets agree on. If that is unclear, it uses the official results.

See all fine print
  • Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.

View on Polymarket

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenSettled by rik.parlament.gov.rs (tiebreak)
Fine-print risk
Low (5/100)
settles on the condition as written

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting; Official election authority (rik.parlament.gov.rs) decides if ambiguous. Publishes official results after the vote. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Sun, Oct 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: rik.parlament.gov.rs (tiebreak) (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Full rules text on file (Polymarket)

Parliamentary elections to elect the 250 members of the National Assembly of Serbia are scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve to the electoral list that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Serbia as a result of this election. Electoral lists will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more lists are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If lists remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed names. This market will resolve to the list that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named electoral list, as it appears on the ballot and official proclamations, regardless of which parties make up the list or how its members later organize themselves in the National Assembly. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Republic Electoral Commission of Serbia (https://www.rik.parlament.gov.rs/).

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Will List U win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?: explained simply · MarketWeaver