US Elections
Will Karina Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
<1% say Karina Milei wins
About the same as yesterday.
Decided by the election on October 24, 2027, using major news reports.
Results can take until October 31, 2028.
Each share pays $1 if it happens, so a price under 1¢ means less than a 1% chance.
Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.
The short version
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. There is one market for each possible winner (21 in all).
Possible results
Javier MileiJavier Milei wins the election.45%
What has to happen
Javier Milei wins, under the rules.
Axel KicillofAxel Kicillof wins the election.34%
What has to happen
Axel Kicillof wins, under the rules.
Sergio MassaSergio Massa wins the election.15%
What has to happen
Sergio Massa wins, under the rules.
Patricia BullrichPatricia Bullrich wins the election.3%
What has to happen
Patricia Bullrich wins, under the rules.
Show 17 more results
Cristina Fernández de KirchnerCristina Fernández de Kirchner wins the election.1%
What has to happen
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner wins, under the rules.
Myriam BregmanMyriam Bregman wins the election.1%
What has to happen
Myriam Bregman wins, under the rules.
Daniel HadadDaniel Hadad wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Daniel Hadad wins, under the rules.
Mauricio MacriMauricio Macri wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Mauricio Macri wins, under the rules.
Juan SchiarettiJuan Schiaretti wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Juan Schiaretti wins, under the rules.
Dante GebelDante Gebel wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Dante Gebel wins, under the rules.
Karina MileiKarina Milei wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Karina Milei wins, under the rules.
Lionel MessiLionel Messi wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Lionel Messi wins, under the rules.
Juan GraboisJuan Grabois wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Juan Grabois wins, under the rules.
Esteban BullrichEsteban Bullrich wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Esteban Bullrich wins, under the rules.
Facundo ManesFacundo Manes wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Facundo Manes wins, under the rules.
Victoria VillarruelVictoria Villarruel wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Victoria Villarruel wins, under the rules.
Nicolás del CañoNicolás del Caño wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Nicolás del Caño wins, under the rules.
Alberto FernándezAlberto Fernández wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Alberto Fernández wins, under the rules.
Guillermo MorenoGuillermo Moreno wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Guillermo Moreno wins, under the rules.
Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de PedroEduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Eduardo Enrique "Wado" de Pedro wins, under the rules.
Máximo KirchnerMáximo Kirchner wins the election.<1%
What has to happen
Máximo Kirchner wins, under the rules.
Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.
The one trap
Polymarket goes by what major news outlets agree on. If that is unclear, it uses the official results.
See all fine print
- Official certified results can come weeks after news outlets call the race, so other venues may settle later or differently.
Price chart
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