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Will Kai Cenat finish his GTA marathon by November 10?

19% say yes

No price change recorded today yet.

Decided by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM , under the rules.

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 19¢ means about a 19% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

The short version

If that hasn’t happened by the deadline (November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET), the answer is No. Yes wins if: Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Possible results

  • YesThe event in the question happens before the deadline.19%

    What has to happen

    Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful completion of the marathon, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

  • NoThe deadline passes without it happening.81%

    What has to happen

    That doesn’t happen by November 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The one trap

If the marathon is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, the market settles as "No".

Price chart
-Yes chance

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View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the condition as writtenNo source named
Fine-print risk
Low (20/100)
settles on the condition as written
  • Official source: settlement runs on No resolution source named in the rules text. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the condition as written, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Tue, Nov 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

No resolution source named in the rules

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kai Cenat finishes playing Grand Theft Auto games live on stream, as accepted by him as a successful…”
  • “The resolution source for this market will be footage from Kai Cenat's official broadcast on YouTube and Twitch.”
  • “Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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