Will John Barnes be the next head coach of the England national team?

Source: Credible-reporting consensus · End date Dec 31, 6:59 PM ET · View rules on Polymarket (international site) ↗

The short version

Traders put the chance of John Barnes being the next head coach of the England national team at less than 1%.

It dipped 1 point today, and there are too few orders waiting near the price to compare buy orders and sell orders.

Low surprise risk: it needs a formal signing or legal effect, not just headlines.

Describes the price, the order book and the contract rules. It is research, not a recommendation.

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The details

Rule note: needs formal signingNo single official source

Fine-print risk

Low (20/100)

Effective

Pro adds the exact price, today’s change in points, buyers vs sellers in dollars, the price chart and every recorded move. See Pro

Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
Fine print: Press announcements or committee votes do not settle Yes; formal signing or enactment before the deadline is required. Deadline: Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (deadline). If a second venue lists the same question, compare its named source, cutoff time and timezone, and fallback.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Live price, chart & buyers vs sellersPro

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Will John Barnes be the next head coach of the England national team?

5-point rule check

Polymarket

Source: Credible-reporting consensus

Fine-print risk: Low (20/100)

Source
Deadline
Counts as Yes
Backup rules
Other venues

Fine-print risk Low 20

Who settles it (official source)

Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider)

Deadline and time zone

Thu, Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (deadline) America/New_York

What counts as Yes

EffectiveRequires the measure to actually take effect; signing or announcing alone does not count. Rule text: "…onding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be offi…"

Backup rules (delays, cancellations, revisions)

If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

Fine print and other venues

Cross-venue & fine-print settlement trap: If a second venue lists the same question, compare its named source, cutoff time and timezone, and fallback; Polymarket disputes go to the UMA Optimistic Oracle while Kalshi follows CFTC-filed contract terms.

Rules text on file (Polymarket)

This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of England’s Men’s National Soccer Team. If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the England Football Federation (The Football Association); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

The short versioniA plain summary built from the live price, the order book and the contract rules, the same for every visitor.

The details

The short version