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Will Japan win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup?

3% say Japan wins

Down 7 points today.

Decided by major news reports, by February 5, 2027, 11:59 PM .

Each share pays $1 if it happens, so 3¢ means about a 3% chance.

Research, not financial advice. Prices from Polymarket’s international site, not available in the US.

Possible results

  • JapanJapan wins.3%

    What has to happen

    Japan wins, under the rules.

  • Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia wins.3%

    What has to happen

    Saudi Arabia wins, under the rules.

  • AustraliaAustralia wins.2%

    What has to happen

    Australia wins, under the rules.

  • South KoreaSouth Korea wins.2%

    What has to happen

    South Korea wins, under the rules.

Show 20 more results
  • United Arab EmiratesUnited Arab Emirates wins.2%

    What has to happen

    United Arab Emirates wins, under the rules.

  • North KoreaNorth Korea wins.2%

    What has to happen

    North Korea wins, under the rules.

  • JordanJordan wins.2%

    What has to happen

    Jordan wins, under the rules.

  • BahrainBahrain wins.2%

    What has to happen

    Bahrain wins, under the rules.

  • SyriaSyria wins.1%

    What has to happen

    Syria wins, under the rules.

  • IraqIraq wins.1%

    What has to happen

    Iraq wins, under the rules.

  • IndonesiaIndonesia wins.1%

    What has to happen

    Indonesia wins, under the rules.

  • ChinaChina wins.1%

    What has to happen

    China wins, under the rules.

  • TajikistanTajikistan wins.1%

    What has to happen

    Tajikistan wins, under the rules.

  • QatarQatar wins.1%

    What has to happen

    Qatar wins, under the rules.

  • IranIran wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Iran wins, under the rules.

  • VietnamVietnam wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Vietnam wins, under the rules.

  • ThailandThailand wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Thailand wins, under the rules.

  • OmanOman wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Oman wins, under the rules.

  • PalestinePalestine wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Palestine wins, under the rules.

  • KyrgyzstanKyrgyzstan wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Kyrgyzstan wins, under the rules.

  • YemenYemen wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Yemen wins, under the rules.

  • KuwaitKuwait wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Kuwait wins, under the rules.

  • UzbekistanUzbekistan wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Uzbekistan wins, under the rules.

  • SingaporeSingapore wins.<1%

    What has to happen

    Singapore wins, under the rules.

Each result is its own market, so the chances may not add up to exactly 100%.

The one trap

If the 2027 AFC Asian Cup is cancelled, postponed after February 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, the market settles as "Other".

Price chart
-Yes chance

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View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

Show details for experienced traders

The details

Rule note: the event happening and being officially reportedNo single official source
Fine-print risk
Low (15/100)
settles on the event happening and being officially reported
  • Official source: settlement runs on Consensus of credible reporting (no single named data provider). Has no single feed: settlement relies on consensus reporting. No recorded moves for this market yet.
  • Fine print: It settles on the event happening and being officially reported, with a deadline in New York time (ET). Deadline: Fri, Feb 5, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Source named: Consensus of credible reporting (not a tracked official feed, no release history)

Standardized read of public order book, official-source and contract-rule data, identical for every viewer. It describes the data and is not a recommendation. The venue’s published rules control settlement.

Key lines from the rules (Polymarket)
  • “This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC Asian Cup.”
  • “If the 2027 AFC Asian Cup is cancelled, postponed after February 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that…”

View rules on Polymarket (international site, not available to US residents)

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